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Predictions for 2022
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#Ransomware Attacks

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2022 Predictions

Prediction #1

comma

The more established ransomware operators and gangs will continue to shift tactics again to evade detection. Ransomware gangs will likely continue to shy away from critical infrastructure targets to avoid making themselves a target of nation-state military and intelligence units. by Emilio Iasiello

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Prediction #2

comma

Supply chain attacks will be the primary weapon of choice in the ransomware threat arsenal. The year 2021 witnessed several types of malware distributed in supply chain attacks reconfigured as ransomware loaders. SolarWinds could merely have been the infancy of this form of assault. by Aviral Verma

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Prediction #3

comma

In 2022, we will consistently see ransomware moving up the technology stack. In particular, APIs are the future of hyper data transfer between systems, and ransomware is after data. It is not long before ransomware groups target APIs via misconfigurations in code. by Srinivas Mukkamala

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Prediction #4

comma

Ransomware is an imminent threat. We will continue to see this space evolve with more advanced attacks. The organisations will also continue to develop their 'recovery' strategies to address extinction-level incidents. by Sachit Singh

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Prediction #5

comma

As we have seen, ransomware attacks have grown and become ever more powerful and profitable – this, I am afraid, will continue. by Prof John Walker

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Prediction #6

comma

My main prediction is that attacks will continue to happen, businesses will be breached, they will be held to ransom (and some will pay) and unfortunately, some will fail because of it. Lessons will be learned (but necessarily addressed) and the battle between the hackers and security specialists will continue. by Steve Stobo

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Prediction #7

comma

Attacks on third-party suppliers will continue to increase (as they did in 2021) as hackers look for softer targets with smaller IT budgets and weaker security to get to larger businesses’ data. Many businesses still rely on questionnaires to ask a supplier how secure they are, the information they get back is aspirational at best and downright false at worst leading to a false sense of security. by Steve Stobo

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Prediction #8

comma

Ransomware Becomes the Next Pandemic: Ransomware continues to evolve with double tap attacks. Victims are extorted for data exfiltrated and locked systems. Large enterprises that can afford solutions such as Endpoint Detection and Response (EDR), email security gateways, and Multi-Factor Authentication (MFA) will have better protection. However, small and medium enterprises (SMEs), especially those businesses that were severely impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic, will face challenges in affording these solutions. These SMEs are the vulnerable ones and will be increasingly at risk. by Wai Kit Cheah

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2021 Predictions

Prediction #1

comma

Ransomware gangs will get more aggressive and will concentrate attacks on the most critical industries, including healthcare and manufacturing industries, and continue to leak hacked data on the dark and deep web. by Arjun Basnet

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Prediction #2

comma

I predict the ransomware attacks to climb as the nation-states are using it to fund their operations. And because of this, the security budgets will increase. by Macy Dennis

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Prediction #3

comma

Organizations will improve their Incident Response process and conduct more IR Workshops and Tabletops by Macy Dennis

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Prediction #4

comma

You will see increased ransom based or financially motivated cyber-crime. Nowadays, there are many cybercrimes syndicate offering tools and services for hire (sometimes with guaranteed results) where they take a certain percentage of the rewards. It makes it increasingly easier to partake in cyber-crime. Some examples includes ransom-based DDoS threats on verticals like gaming or stock exchanges, as well as very targeted BEC attacks. by Wai Kit Cheah

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Do you have a cybersecurity prediction for 2022?

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